← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
| Pordenone win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Crotone −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 19' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Borello · Crotone |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Karlo Butić · Pordenone |
| 34' | 🟨 | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
| 38' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
| 38' | 🟥 | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
| 56' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Pordenone |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marco Pinato · Pordenone |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Pordenone |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 76' | ⚽ | Augustus Kargbo · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 78.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1381.02 | 1338.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.25 | 11.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 25.38 |
| state index | -1.27 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |