← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Perugia win | 26% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Roberto Inglese · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Perugia |
| 34' | 🟨 | Simon Sohm · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 38' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 48' | ⚽ | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 41.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1486.79 | 1465.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.88 | 27.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 27.42 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |