← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Ascoli win | 22% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Ascoli |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luigi Cuppone · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 163.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1507.54 | 1475.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.83 | 23.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 5.73 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 29.60 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |