← Serie B 2021 · Fri, Dec 10, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Crotone win | 19% | 5.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Crotone −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 39' | ⚽ | Nicolò Fagioli · Cremonese |
| 51' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 60' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 73' | ⚽ | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 343.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1497.38 | 1386.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.48 | -58.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 43.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 29.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 25.38 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |