← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Dec 5, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Alessandria win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Alessandria +0 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.64 |
| Over | 42% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 9' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Prestia · Alessandria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 71' | 🟨 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 338.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1421.05 | 1498.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.84 | 20.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |