← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 4, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.34 |
| Reggina win | 15% | 7.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reggina −1 | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · US Lecce |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 55' | 🟨 | Përparim Hetemaj · Reggina |
| 55' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
| 61' | ⚽ | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 156.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1594.15 | 1460.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.27 | -40.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 28.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 3.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 29.09 |
| state index | 0.86 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |