← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Cosenza win | 22% | 4.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Crescenzi · Cremonese |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Cosenza |
| 52' | ⚽ | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 66' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 125.00 | 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1374.57 | 1484.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.06 | -4.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 46.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 25.53 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |