← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Dec 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Brescia win | 27% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marko Pajač · Brescia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jesse Joronen · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 13 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1495.44 | 1551.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.92 | 15.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 4.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 26.81 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |