← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Nov 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Crotone win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crotone −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 9' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 11' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 40' | 🟥 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 76' | 🟨 | Miloš Vulić · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 22 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1032.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1424.83 | 1404.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.35 | -47.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 41.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 24.45 |
| state index | -0.22 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |