← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 28% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 24' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 38' | ⚽ | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 78' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 179.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1451.27 | 1502.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.03 | 4.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |