← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 39% | 2.60 |
| Cosenza win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Spal +0.25 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Andrea Tiritiello · Cosenza |
| 58' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Rossi · Spal |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jacopo Da Riva · Spal |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 76' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Spal |
| 83' | 🟥 | Francesco Vicari · Spal |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 118.00 | 271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1393.62 | 1446.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.63 | -15.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |