← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Alessandria win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.79 |
| Over | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Alessandria |
| 27' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | Andrea Arrighini · Alessandria |
| 49' | ⚽ | Mattia Mustacchio · Alessandria |
| 63' | 🟨 | Simone Corazza · Alessandria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Riccardo Chiarello · Alessandria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Simone Benedetti · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 330.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.61 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1428.09 | 1495.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.49 | -1.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 45.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| league points | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |