← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 35% | 2.80 |
| AC Monza win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| AC Monza +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 15' | 🟨 | Luca Caldirola · AC Monza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 33' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 59' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 68' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 70' | 🟨 | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 361.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1465.07 | 1511.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.70 | 9.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 27.00 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |