β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Nov 20, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.38 |
| US Lecce win | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce β0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio β0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | π¨ | Morten Hjulmand Β· US Lecce |
| 45' | π¨ | Matteo Ricci Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 53' | π¨ | Karlo LuliΔ Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 76' | π¨ | Kastriot Dermaku Β· US Lecce |
| 86' | π¨ | Giacomo Manzari Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | π¨ | Raffaele Maiello Β· Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 264.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1525.21 | 1587.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.74 | 13.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | β |
| league points | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 13.81 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |