← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
| Alessandria win | 21% | 4.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Alessandria −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 23' | ⚽ | Riccardo Chiarello · Alessandria |
| 28' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 34' | ⚽ | Simone Corazza · Alessandria |
| 38' | ⚽ | Andrea Arrighini · Alessandria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Alessandria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 67' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Spal |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 88' | 🟥 | Federico Viviani · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 264.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 4.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1459.22 | 1415.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.13 | -33.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.78 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |