← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Nov 7, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 38% | 2.65 |
| AC Monza win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| AC Monza +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · AC Monza |
| 17' | ⚽ | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
| 27' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gabriel Paletta · AC Monza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
| 79' | 🟨 | José Machín · AC Monza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 86' | ⚽ | Godfred Donsah · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 37.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1444.99 | 1505.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.65 | 12.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.05 | 6.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 24.87 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |