← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 36% | 2.81 |
| Perugia win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Como 1907 +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Como 1907 |
| 14' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 18' | ⚽ | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 21' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 28' | ⚽ | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 41' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 48' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 340.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1382.18 | 1456.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 67.66 | 16.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 29.43 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |