← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 49% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.52 |
| Spal win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spal −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 15' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 33' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 44' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Spal |
| 49' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 77' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 309.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1485.90 | 1456.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.64 | -2.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| league points | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |