← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Nov 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Alessandria win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| AC Monza −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
| 16' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Alessandria |
| 67' | 🟨 | Aristidi Kolaj · Alessandria |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pedro Pereira · AC Monza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 123.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 4.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1499.24 | 1440.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.35 | 1.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 4.81 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 26.72 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |