← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Nov 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 |
| Como 1907 win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 16' | ⚽ | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 30' | 🟨 | Moutir Chajia · Como 1907 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Como 1907 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marino Defendi · Ternana |
| 76' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1004.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1412.23 | 1369.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.18 | 60.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.86 | 26.37 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |