← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Nov 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Perugia win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Spal −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 26' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luca Coccolo · Spal |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Spal |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 245.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1469.10 | 1444.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.39 | 2.25 |
| eye test v1 | 1.07 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| league points | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 26.29 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |