← Serie B 2021 · Thu, Oct 28, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Crotone win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crotone +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Gaetano Letizia · Benevento |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
| 53' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Benevento |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Crotone |
| 75' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Benevento |
| 88' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
| 88' | 🟥 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 27.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1465.22 | 1569.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.71 | 9.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 43.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| league points | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.55 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |