← Serie B 2021 · Thu, Oct 28, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 37% | 2.73 |
| Ascoli win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ascoli +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 36' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Spal |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 57' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Ascoli |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 73' | 🟨 | Federico Baschirotto · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 26 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 331.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1453.38 | 1457.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.76 | -6.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 1.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 5.07 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 21.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.60 |
| squad age | 28.87 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |