← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Cittadella win | 24% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Caldirola · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco D'Alessandro · AC Monza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco D'Alessandro · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 114.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1495.76 | 1497.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.38 | -7.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| league points | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.63 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |