← Serie B 2021 · Fri, Oct 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Alessandria win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Alessandria +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Crotone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pierozzi · Alessandria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Crotone |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aristidi Kolaj · Alessandria |
| 76' | 🟨 | Francesco Orlando · Alessandria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Alessandria |
| 87' | 🟥 | Augustus Kargbo · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 294.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1431.58 | 1474.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.55 | -17.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.25 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |