← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| AC Monza win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AC Monza −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Valentin Mihăilă · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 18' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · AC Monza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
| 46' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 52' | 🟨 | Juan Brunetta · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · AC Monza |
| 61' | 🟥 | Luca Marrone · AC Monza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 169.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1503.78 | 1493.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.55 | -16.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 14.91 | 15.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 27.81 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |