← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Brescia win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Riad Bajić · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 137.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1445.28 | 1540.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.09 | -5.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 12.82 | 13.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |