← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 39% | 2.65 |
| Pordenone win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Pordenone +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Simone Pasa · Pordenone |
| 10' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
| 13' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 20' | 🟨 | Alessio Sabbione · Pordenone |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 63' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Alberto Barison · Pordenone |
| 69' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 78' | ⚽ | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 45.00 | 988.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1345.48 | 1380.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.05 | 11.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 12.91 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.13 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 28.41 |
| state index | -1.50 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |