← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| US Lecce +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 30' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Valentin Gendrey · US Lecce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 73' | 🟨 | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 74' | ⚽ | Atanas Iliev · Ascoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Fabbrini · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 27 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 319.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1459.39 | 1574.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.21 | 49.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.14 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |