← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Pisa win | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · Crotone |
| 24' | ⚽ | Niccolò Zanellato · Crotone |
| 27' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Borello · Crotone |
| 32' | 🟨 | Vasile Mogoș · Crotone |
| 45' | ⚽ | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 47' | 🟨 | Samuele Birindelli · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 15.00 | 1233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1464.68 | 1526.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.47 | 47.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| league points | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.02 | 25.74 |
| state index | -0.84 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |