β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Oct 2, 02:15 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Reggina win | 25% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina β0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Pisa β0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | β½ (og) | Thiago Cionek Β· Pisa |
| 64' | π₯ | Alessandro Micai Β· Reggina |
| 68' | β½ (pen) | Lorenzo Lucca Β· Pisa |
| 71' | π¨ | Giuseppe Sibilli Β· Pisa |
| 80' | π¨ | Lorenzo Crisetig Β· Reggina |
| 90' | π¨ | Antonio Caracciolo Β· Pisa |
| 90' | π¨ | Gianluca Di Chiara Β· Reggina |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 1219.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1516.39 | 1466.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.40 | 16.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.71 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 29.75 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |