← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Cittadella win | 23% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 30' | 🟨 | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 31' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 54' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Federico Gatti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 215.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1499.50 | 1488.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.87 | -19.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |