← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 49% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 |
| Ascoli win | 23% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Crotone −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 16' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 20' | ⚽ | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 22' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Borello · Crotone |
| 22' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Ascoli |
| 26' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 50' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 52' | 🟨 | Diego Fabbrini · Ascoli |
| 54' | 🟥 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 1.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1466.64 | 1457.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.96 | 14.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.77 |
| league points | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.71 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.03 | 28.13 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |