← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cosenza +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
| 31' | 🟨 | Sanasi Sy · Cosenza |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 70' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 77' | ⚽ | Marco Carraro · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.71 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 55.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1394.01 | 1477.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.08 | -36.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.96 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| league points | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |