← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Como 1907 win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟥 | Kamil Glik · Benevento |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Benevento |
| 56' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 68' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 298.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1309.26 | 1572.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.66 | 21.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 28.04 |
| state index | -1.09 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |