← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 36% | 2.80 |
| US Lecce win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 54% | 1.84 |
| US Lecce +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 15' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 38' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 69' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 77' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
| 84' | 🟨 | Antonino Gallo · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 86.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1498.25 | 1552.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.75 | 2.02 |
| eye test v1 | 1.11 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |