← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 39% | 2.80 |
| Ascoli win | 31% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 17' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 23' | ⚽ | Gianfilippo Felicioli · Ascoli |
| 29' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jhon Chancellor · Brescia |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Marko Pajač · Brescia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Andrea De Paoli · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 298.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1466.55 | 1557.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.39 | 30.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 4.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |