← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Sep 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Perugia win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cremonese −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 14' | ⚽ | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Gianmaria Zanandrea · Perugia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Gianmaria Zanandrea · Perugia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Cremonese |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gianmaria Zanandrea · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟥 | Gianmaria Zanandrea · Perugia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 54' | 🟨 | Leandro Chichizola · Perugia |
| 79' | ⚽ | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 264.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1495.09 | 1418.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.00 | 10.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.48 | 29.18 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |