← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Sep 22, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 39% | 2.70 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Ternana |
| 66' | ⚽ | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juan Brunetta · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 75' | ⚽ | Marino Defendi · Ternana |
| 76' | ⚽ | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 87' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 964.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1358.71 | 1524.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.50 | 5.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.60 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.75 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.17 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.05 | 27.48 |
| state index | -1.41 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |