← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Sep 21, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 36% | 2.86 |
| US Lecce win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Crotone +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
| 20' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 23' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · US Lecce |
| 69' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 204.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1495.93 | 1533.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.68 | -19.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.71 | — |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |