β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Sep 18, 04:30 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 49% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Pordenone win | 22% | 4.59 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella β0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Pordenone β0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | π¨ | Tommaso Cassandro Β· Cittadella |
| 22' | π¨ | Nicola Falasco Β· Pordenone |
| 32' | π¨ | Luca Magnino Β· Pordenone |
| 44' | π¨ | Christian D'Urso Β· Cittadella |
| 57' | β½ | Orji Okwonkwo Β· Cittadella |
| 83' | π¨ | Elhan Kastrati Β· Cittadella |
| 84' | π¨ | Mirko Antonucci Β· Cittadella |
| 87' | π¨ | Mamadou Tounkara Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 79.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1504.94 | 1394.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.11 | -28.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.60 |
| league points | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 5.92 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 25.48 |
| state index | 0.31 | -1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |