β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Sep 18, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: P. Giacomelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 62% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.39 |
| Alessandria win | 14% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce β1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Alessandria β1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.72 |
| Under | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Alessandro Tuia Β· US Lecce |
| 15' | β½ | Simone Corazza Β· Alessandria |
| 17' | π¨ | Christian Celesia Β· Alessandria |
| 43' | π¨ | Matteo Di Gennaro Β· Alessandria |
| 56' | β½ | Abou Ba Β· Alessandria |
| 60' | π¨ | Alessandro Tuia Β· US Lecce |
| 63' | π¨ | Matteo Di Gennaro Β· Alessandria |
| 63' | π₯ | Matteo Di Gennaro Β· Alessandria |
| 77' | π¨ | Gabriel Lunetta Β· Alessandria |
| 87' | β½ | Pablo RodrΓguez Β· US Lecce |
| 90' | β½ | Massimo Coda Β· US Lecce |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | β |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 79.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | β |
| elo | 1527.08 | 1464.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.85 | β |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | β |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | β |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | β |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | β |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| league points | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 75.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 50.67 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.67 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 28.47 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | β |