← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 56% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.85 |
| Cosenza win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Cosenza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Reda Boultam · Cosenza |
| 51' | ⚽ | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mario Šitum · Cosenza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Cosenza |
| 84' | 🟥 | Luca Palmiero · Cosenza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gabriele Ferrarini · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 109.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1420.88 | 1381.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.80 | -7.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.49 | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |