← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 39% | 2.70 |
| Ascoli win | 31% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 23' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Benevento |
| 25' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 31' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Benevento |
| 38' | 🟨 | Artur Ioniță · Benevento |
| 46' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dejan Vokić · Benevento |
| 83' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 86' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Benevento |
| 86' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianfilippo Felicioli · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 291.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1462.59 | 1546.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.50 | -4.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |