← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Reggina win | 29% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 22' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 43' | ⚽ | Andrej Gălăbinov · Reggina |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 77' | 🟨 | Përparim Hetemaj · Reggina |
| 81' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Crotone |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 194.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1495.15 | 1457.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.43 | -16.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 13.02 | 12.92 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.05 | 29.40 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |