β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Sep 11, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Alessandria win | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alessandria +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | π¨ | Andrea Beghetto Β· Alessandria |
| 34' | π¨ | Simone Corazza Β· Alessandria |
| 44' | π¨ | Massimo Bertagnoli Β· Brescia |
| 49' | π¨ | Federico Casarini Β· Alessandria |
| 55' | β½ | Mehdi LΓ©ris Β· Brescia |
| 69' | β½ | Filip JagieΕΕo Β· Brescia |
| 73' | β½ | Simone Corazza Β· Alessandria |
| 81' | π¨ | Rodrigo Palacio Β· Brescia |
| 90' | π¨ | Christian Celesia Β· Alessandria |
| 90' | β½ | Rodrigo Palacio Β· Brescia |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | β | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 253.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.49 |
| elo | 1478.82 | 1545.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | β | 34.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | β | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | β | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | β | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | β | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | β | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | β | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.50 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 14.83 | 14.73 |
| scorer concentration | β | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.09 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 2.40 |