← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Perugia win | 24% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Frosinone Calcio |
| 28' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Perugia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 194.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1491.51 | 1417.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.73 | -9.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.86 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.73 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 29.71 |
| state index | 0.79 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |