← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Aug 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Pordenone win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Spal −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟥 | Michele Camporese · Pordenone |
| 18' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 37' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Pordenone |
| 45' | ⚽ | Elio Capradossi · Spal |
| 57' | 🟨 | Demba Seck · Spal |
| 69' | ⚽ | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 75' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Spal |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jacopo Da Riva · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 30 | Shots | 6 |
| 13 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 181.00 | 1291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1452.14 | 1425.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.96 | -17.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.10 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |