← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Aug 29, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Crotone win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 17' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Borello · Crotone |
| 18' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 52' | 🟨 | Miloš Vulić · Crotone |
| 62' | ⚽ | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 68' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · Crotone |
| 74' | ⚽ | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 59.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1507.16 | 1507.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.55 | 7.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.66 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |