← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Aug 28, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Valeri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 43% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Ascoli win | 27% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 17' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 21' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 22' | ⚽ | Mirko Carretta · Perugia |
| 49' | ⚽ | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 69' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 88.00 | 270.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1428.50 | 1442.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.50 | 33.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.37 | 30.04 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |